It’s time for Week 14 of the 2024 NFL season. I strongly suggest you check out the Week 14 NFL Betting Hub, where you’ll find all of the features and picks from my talented co-workers. On top of that, we never stop pumping out good NFL content on our live shows. That’s the beauty of being a subscriber. As a company, we’re relentless in our effort to get you prepared for these games. With that out of the way, let’s get into the fun stuff. Keep reading for my Week 14 NFL best bets and Week 14 NFL predictions.
The Jaguars are also just 21st in the league in Rush EPA per play allowed (-0.057), so this could be a game in which Tony Pollard gets going. That would then allow Will Levis to play with less stress. And Levis has actually thrown for seven touchdowns and just two interceptions over the last four games. If he can avoid making costly errors, there’s really no reason this Titans team can’t cover a field goal.
Tennessee also won 28-20 as a 3.5-point underdog when these teams met in Nashville last year, and the Titans are now 5-3 ATS versus the Jaguars since the 2020 season.
Bet: Titans -3 (-115 – 1.5 units)
Seattle’s offense has also been a nightmare lately. The Seahawks are 28th in the NFL in EPA per play (-0.080) over the last five games. That didn’t end up burning them against the Cardinals at Lumen Field, as the defense and atmosphere got to the opponent. But it won’t fly on the road. Geno Smith and this Seattle offense must be better, but I’m not sure that can be expected.
The Cardinals are also 9-5 ATS at home under Jonathan Gannon, and they’re 6-4 ATS in games with lines of +3 to -3 under him. On top of that, Arizona desperately needs this game in order to stay alive in the race to win the NFC West. That sense of urgency should show up here.
Bet: Cardinals -2.5 (-110)
6.5PT TEASER: Buccaneers ML vs. Raiders & Steelers ML vs. Browns (-120 – 1.5 units)
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2024 Record: 47-42 (+2.26 units)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans – 1:00 pm ET
This is one of the ugliest matchups of the day, but I’m going to force myself to watch it. I just can’t help but think that this is a great opportunity to back Tennessee. For as bad as this Titans team has been this year, the group does have a top-15 defense when it comes to EPA per play allowed (0.008). That’s hard to ignore when facing a Jaguars team that is starting Mac Jones at quarterback. Tennessee is actually solid against the run, as the team has a Rush EPA per play allowed of -0.106. It’s the passing defense that has been very problematic this year, but do you really have to worry about that against Jacksonville?The Jaguars are also just 21st in the league in Rush EPA per play allowed (-0.057), so this could be a game in which Tony Pollard gets going. That would then allow Will Levis to play with less stress. And Levis has actually thrown for seven touchdowns and just two interceptions over the last four games. If he can avoid making costly errors, there’s really no reason this Titans team can’t cover a field goal.
Tennessee also won 28-20 as a 3.5-point underdog when these teams met in Nashville last year, and the Titans are now 5-3 ATS versus the Jaguars since the 2020 season.
Bet: Titans -3 (-115 – 1.5 units)
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals – 4:05 pm ET
I liked the Cardinals to beat the Seahawks in Seattle on November 24th, but Arizona got nothing going offensively there. The Seahawks held the Cardinals to just six points, and there was a key moment in that game in which Kyler Murray completely overthrew an open receiver and Seattle took it the other way for six. Murray has now thrown for just one touchdown over the last two weeks, and he has three picks in that span. He needs to get back on track, and there are reasons to believe it’ll happen here. This season, Murray has a Passer Rating of 104.1 at home. He’s also completing 70.1% of his passes and has a 7-2 TD-INT ratio in Glendale. On the road, he has a Passer Rating of 88.2 and a 6-4 TD-INT ratio. He’s a little more comfortable in his home stadium, and he has now had a look at this Seahawks defense. Improvements should be made the second time around.Seattle’s offense has also been a nightmare lately. The Seahawks are 28th in the NFL in EPA per play (-0.080) over the last five games. That didn’t end up burning them against the Cardinals at Lumen Field, as the defense and atmosphere got to the opponent. But it won’t fly on the road. Geno Smith and this Seattle offense must be better, but I’m not sure that can be expected.
The Cardinals are also 9-5 ATS at home under Jonathan Gannon, and they’re 6-4 ATS in games with lines of +3 to -3 under him. On top of that, Arizona desperately needs this game in order to stay alive in the race to win the NFC West. That sense of urgency should show up here.
Bet: Cardinals -2.5 (-110)
Additional Week 14 Best Bets
Packers +3.5 (-115) vs. Lions – Click here for my Packers vs. Lions Thursday Night Football betting preview!6.5PT TEASER: Buccaneers ML vs. Raiders & Steelers ML vs. Browns (-120 – 1.5 units)
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2024 Record: 47-42 (+2.26 units)
